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Layer: Mangrove Distribution in the SE United States (0)

Sub Layers:
• Mangrove Presence and Absence (based on expert input 2021)
• Mangrove Expansion Zones
• Potential change in the probability of mangrove presence by 2100
Name: Mangrove Distribution in the SE United States

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Description: A quick look at the emerging science of mangrove distributions.

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Spatial Reference: 102100  (3857)



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Layer: Mangrove Presence and Absence (based on expert input 2021) (1)

Name: Mangrove Presence and Absence (based on expert input 2021)

Display Field: Mangrove

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Description: This dataset represents the most current distribution of mangroves in the southeastern United States based on expert knowledge in 2021. These data provide a baseline for continued monitoring of the distribution and abundance of mangroves throughout the southeastern United States and are a significant update to previously best available maps of mangrove distribution. The grid is symbolized in the map with green cells indicating presence of mangroves and gray cells indicating absence of mangroves. Source: Bardou, R., et al. 2021, Mangrove distribution in the southeastern United States in 2021: <a href="https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/61eb07ddd34e8b818ada4948" target="_blank">U.S. Geological Survey data release</a>.

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Spatial Reference: 102100  (3857)



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Layer: Mangrove Expansion Zones (2)

Name: Mangrove Expansion Zones

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Description: Current hotspots of mangrove expansion and contraction. These are areas where mangrove expansion is expected to occur first and/or has occurred in the recent past.

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Layer: Potential change in the probability of mangrove presence by 2100 (3)

Name: Potential change in the probability of mangrove presence by 2100

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Description: Map of coastal counties showing the projected change in the probability of mangrove presence from recent climate (1981 - 2010) to future climate (2071 - 2100) under the severe climate change (SSP 8.5) scenario.

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Layer: Modeling Current and Future Mangroves (4)

Sub Layers:
• Current and Future Mangroves
• Climatic Drivers of Mangrove Change
Name: Modeling Current and Future Mangroves

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Description: A new research project models the relationships between mangrove distributions and climate models of temperature and precipitation.

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Layer: Current and Future Mangroves (5)

Parent Layer: Modeling Current and Future Mangroves

Sub Layers:
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• Mangrove Presence (Future Moderate Climate)
• Mangrove Presence (Future Severe Climate)
• Mangrove Relative Abundance (Recent Climate)
• Mangrove Relative Abundance (Future Moderate Climate)
• Mangrove Relative Abundance (Future Severe Climate)
• Aboveground Biomass (Recent Climate)
• Aboveground Biomass (Future Moderate Climate)
• Aboveground Biomass (Future Severe Climate)
• Wetland Vegetation Height (Recent Climate)
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• Wetland Vegetation Height (Future Severe Climate)
Name: Current and Future Mangroves

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Description: New research exploring the connection between an expanding mangrove range and changing climate.

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Layer: Mangrove Presence (Recent Climate) (6)

Parent Layer: Current and Future Mangroves

Name: Mangrove Presence (Recent Climate)

Display Field: countyName

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Description: Probability (%) that an individual mangrove plant is present during recent climatic conditions.

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Layer: Mangrove Presence (Future Moderate Climate) (7)

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Layer: Mangrove Presence (Future Severe Climate) (8)

Parent Layer: Current and Future Mangroves

Name: Mangrove Presence (Future Severe Climate)

Display Field: countyName

Type: Feature Layer

Geometry Type: esriGeometryPolygon

Description: Probability (%) that an individual mangrove plant is present at the end of the century (2071 - 2100) with severe climate change.

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Spatial Reference: 102100  (3857)



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Layer: Mangrove Relative Abundance (Recent Climate) (9)

Parent Layer: Current and Future Mangroves

Name: Mangrove Relative Abundance (Recent Climate)

Display Field: countyName

Type: Feature Layer

Geometry Type: esriGeometryPolygon

Description: Percent of tidal saline wetlands dominated by mangrove forests during recent climatic conditions.

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Supported Query Formats: JSON, geoJSON, PBF

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YMin: 2817002.6319000013
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Spatial Reference: 102100  (3857)



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Layer: Mangrove Relative Abundance (Future Moderate Climate) (10)

Parent Layer: Current and Future Mangroves

Name: Mangrove Relative Abundance (Future Moderate Climate)

Display Field: countyName

Type: Feature Layer

Geometry Type: esriGeometryPolygon

Description: Projected future abundance of mangroves (%) at the end of the century (2071-2100) under moderate climate change.

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MaxRecordCount: 2000

Supported Query Formats: JSON, geoJSON, PBF

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Extent:
XMin: -1.08896777139E7
YMin: 2817002.6319000013
XMax: -8399915.819
YMax: 4407487.917599998
Spatial Reference: 102100  (3857)



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Layer: Mangrove Relative Abundance (Future Severe Climate) (11)

Parent Layer: Current and Future Mangroves

Name: Mangrove Relative Abundance (Future Severe Climate)

Display Field: countyName

Type: Feature Layer

Geometry Type: esriGeometryPolygon

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YMin: 2817002.6319000013
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Spatial Reference: 102100  (3857)



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Layer: Wetland Vegetation Height (Future Severe Climate) (17)

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Description: Mean vegetation height of tidal saline wetlands at the end of the century (2071 - 2100) with severe climate change, measured in meters (m).

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Layer: Climatic Drivers of Mangrove Change (18)

Parent Layer: Modeling Current and Future Mangroves

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Description: Extreme minimum temperature over 30-year period from 1981 - 2010. Extreme minimum temperature represents the absolute coldest temperature recorded during the 30-year period, which is relevant because extreme minimum temperatures govern the distribution and structure of mangroves in this region. This temperature map is represented in three zones that are meaningful for mangroves: below -7 (°F) in which mangroves may be killed, between -4 (°F) and -7 (°F) in which mangroves may sustain leaf damage, and above -4 (°F) in which mangroves can thrive. These data were obtained from the AdaptWest Project (2022) and are based on data produced by the PRISM Climate Group (Oregon State University; prism.oregonstate.edu). &lt;a href="https://adaptwest.databasin.org/pages/adaptwest-climatena/"&gt;source&lt;/a&gt;

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Layer: Extreme Minimum Temperature (Future Moderate Climate) (20)

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Description: Projected extreme minimum temperature at the end of the century (2071 - 2100) with &lt;a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter04.pdf"&gt;moderate climate change (SSP2-4.5)&lt;/a&gt;. Extreme minimum temperature represents the absolute coldest temperature recorded during the 30-year period, which is relevant because extreme minimum temperatures govern the distribution and structure of mangroves in this region. This temperature map is represented in three zones that are meaningful for mangroves: below -7 (°F) in which mangroves may be killed, between -4 (°F) and -7 (°F) in which mangroves may sustain leaf damage, and above -4 (°F) in which mangroves can thrive. These data were obtained from the AdaptWest Project (2022) and are based on downscaled data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) database, which corresponds to the 6th IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2023). &lt;a href="https://adaptwest.databasin.org/pages/adaptwest-climatena/"&gt;source&lt;/a&gt;

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Layer: Extreme Minimum Temperature (Future Severe Climate) (21)

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Description: Projected extreme minimum temperature at the end of the century (2071 - 2100) with &lt;a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter04.pdf"&gt;severe climate change (SSP5-8.5)&lt;/a&gt;. Extreme minimum temperature represents the absolute coldest temperature recorded during the 30-year period, which is relevant because extreme minimum temperatures govern the distribution and structure of mangroves in this region. This temperature map is represented in three zones that are meaningful for mangroves: below -7 (°F) in which mangroves may be killed, between -4 (°F) and -7 (°F) in which mangroves may sustain leaf damage, and above -4 (°F) in which mangroves can thrive. These data were obtained from the AdaptWest Project (2022) and are based on downscaled data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) database, which corresponds to the 6th IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2023). &lt;a href="https://adaptwest.databasin.org/pages/adaptwest-climatena/"&gt;source&lt;/a&gt;

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Layer: Mean Annual Precipitation (Recent Climate) (22)

Parent Layer: Climatic Drivers of Mangrove Change

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Description: Mean annual precipitation over 30-year period from 1981 - 2010. While warmer temperatures may drive the mangrove range northward, range expansion is limited to the west due to a lack of rainfall. Lower precipitation in coastal areas can increase salinity in coastal waters making them less inhabitable for mangroves. This map shows mean annual precipitation in two zones: less than 995 mm in which the lack of rainfall contributes to higher salinity than is healthy for mangroves, and greater than or equal to 995 mm in which there is sufficient rainfall to keep salinity levels within a healthy range for mangroves. These data were obtained from the AdaptWest Project (2022) and are based on data produced by the PRISM Climate Group (Oregon State University; prism.oregonstate.edu).  &lt;a href="https://adaptwest.databasin.org/pages/adaptwest-climatena/" target="_blank"&gt;source&lt;/a&gt;

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Layer: Mean Annual Precipitation (Future Moderate Climate) (23)

Parent Layer: Climatic Drivers of Mangrove Change

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Description: Projected mean annual precipitation at the end of the century (2071 - 2100) with &lt;a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter04.pdf" target="_blank"&gt;moderate climate change (SSP2-4.5)&lt;/a&gt;. While warmer temperatures may drive the mangrove range northward, range expansion is limited to the west due to a lack of rainfall. Lower precipitation in coastal areas can increase salinity in coastal waters making them less inhabitable for mangroves. This map shows mean annual precipitation in two zones: less than 995 mm in which the lack of rainfall contributes to higher salinity than is healthy for mangroves, and greater than or equal to 995 mm in which there is sufficient rainfall to keep salinity levels within a healthy range for mangroves. These data were obtained from the AdaptWest Project (2022) and are based on data produced by the PRISM Climate Group (Oregon State University; prism.oregonstate.edu).  &lt;a href="https://adaptwest.databasin.org/pages/adaptwest-climatena/" target="_blank"&gt;source&lt;/a&gt;

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Layer: Mean Annual Precipitation (Future Severe Climate) (24)

Parent Layer: Climatic Drivers of Mangrove Change

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Description: Projected mean annual precipitation at the end of the century (2071 - 2100) with &lt;a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter04.pdf" target="_blank"&gt;severe climate change (SSP5-8.5)&lt;/a&gt;. While warmer temperatures may drive the mangrove range northward, range expansion is limited to the west due to a lack of rainfall. Lower precipitation in coastal areas can increase salinity in coastal waters making them less inhabitable for mangroves. This map shows mean annual precipitation in two zones: less than 995 mm in which the lack of rainfall contributes to higher salinity than is healthy for mangroves, and greater than or equal to 995 mm in which there is sufficient rainfall to keep salinity levels within a healthy range for mangroves. These data were obtained from the AdaptWest Project (2022) and are based on data produced by the PRISM Climate Group (Oregon State University; prism.oregonstate.edu).  &lt;a href="https://adaptwest.databasin.org/pages/adaptwest-climatena/" target="_blank"&gt;source&lt;/a&gt;

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Layer: Supporting Layers (30)

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• Inland Wetland Migration Space
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Layer: Tidal Wetland Complexes (31)

Parent Layer: Supporting Layers

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Copyright Text:

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Layer: Inland Wetland Migration Space (32)

Parent Layer: Supporting Layers

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